Geopolitical··Severity 8
Zelensky spouts rhetoric about ceasefire, but continues to strike energy sites — diplomat
In Maria Zakharova's words, Zelensky is absolutely unable to negotiate
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
51%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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