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Geopolitical··Severity 6

BoE holds rates at 3.75% as it waits to see impact of Iran war

Monetary Policy Committee split six to three, with key voters more confident that underlying price pressures are receding

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

40%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: FT World

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