Geopolitical··Severity 8
Evo Morales defiant after new Bolivia arrest warrant
Bolivia's former president is being investigated 'for armed uprising' against the state, among other things.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
57%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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