Geopolitical··Severity 6
US hits multiple targets in Iran as IRGC pledges retaliation: What we know
Jordan said it intercepted missiles shortly after the US struck Iranian sites including Qeshm and Bushehr.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
42%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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