Geopolitical··Severity 9
Russian ballistic missile strikes on Kyiv come after Zelenskyy’s warning
Returning from the US, Zelenskyy says Ukraine's safety depends on allies’ willingness to provide anti-missile defences.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
77%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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