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Social··Severity 6

Hundreds of migrants swim from Morocco to Spanish enclave of Ceuta

The territory's leader said the influx is overwhelming resources and urged the Spanish government to intervene.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

25%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: BBC World

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