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Will Ronaldo Cry​? World Cup Fans Bet Billions Through Prediction Markets

Football fans wagered more than US $14 billion on the FIFA World Cup through prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi, a Bellingcat analysis has found. On the crypto-based Polymarket, which provides more information about individual trading accounts than its rival American site Kalshi, we also found that just 1% of users collected the vast majority of […] The post Will Ronaldo Cry​? World Cup Fans Bet Billions Through Prediction Markets appeared first on bellingcat .

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

35%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bellingcat

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