Geopolitical··Severity 8
Saudi Arabia announces maritime defence coalition as Houthi attacks threaten Red Sea route
Fourteen countries, including Pakistan, Turkey, Egypt and Sudan, vow to protect shipping and energy supplies
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
66%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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