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Geopolitical··Severity 6

Ukraine’s F-16s are being worn out from intercepting Russian drones

Ukrainian F-16s have destroyed more than 2,500 one-way attack drones, but repeated interceptions are wearing out the country's small fleet.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

44%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Defense News

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