Geopolitical··Severity 9
Iran war live: Trump threatens to hit ‘very hard’ over strikes on Jordan
Threat comes as Iranian media report that four Iranians were killed in joint US-Saudi attacks in Iraq.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
79%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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