Economic··Severity 5
Shell profits double as oil prices rise due to Iran war
Disruption to global supplies of oil and liquid natural gas through the Strait of Hormuz has pushed up prices.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
27%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC Business
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