Geopolitical··Severity 6
US forces launch new strikes against Iran, central command says
US forces launch new strikes against Iran, central command says
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
40%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: CGTN World
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