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Geopolitical··Severity 8

The Risks of Conflict Expansion from the Gulf to the Caspian

The Strait of Hormuz is nearly 3,000 kilometers (2,000 miles) from the frontline in southeastern Ukraine, but the two wars – one pitting the U.S. against Iran, the other Russia against Ukraine – are converging in the Caspian Sea basin. The reason is Iran’s deepening partnership with Russia, combined with the fact that U.S. efforts […] The post The Risks of Conflict Expansion from the Gulf to the Caspian appeared first on Geopolitical Futures .

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

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64%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Geopolitical Futures

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