Social··Severity 6
Hamas says disarmament depends on complete withdrawal of Israel from Gaza
The Palestinian radical movement also mentioned the start of the work of an administrative committee, the deployment of international forces and "guarantees of the rights to self-determination, the creation of an independent Palestinian state" as conditions
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
26%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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