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Military··Severity 9

Caspian Sea: Where the Iran and Ukraine Wars Meet

(click to enlarge) The Caspian Sea rarely makes global headlines, but it has abruptly become the intersection of the wars in Ukraine and Iran. Not only does the Caspian link Moscow to Central Asia, but it has become the principal artery of the deepening Russia-Iran partnership, carrying military cargo and supporting Russia’s civilian nuclear work and energy investments in Iran. Extending its campaign against the infrastructure sustaining Russia’s war effort, Ukraine has exploited this dependence by launching drones at vessels it says were transporting military cargo between Iran and Russia. The logic is clear: Iran supplies Russia with drones and […] The post Caspian Sea: Where the Iran and Ukraine Wars Meet appeared first on Geopolitical Futures .

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

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Эскалация

80%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Geopolitical Futures

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