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Military··Severity 9

What China’s Missile Test Says About the Pacific Order

On July 6, a Chinese nuclear-powered submarine in the South China Sea launched a nuclear-capable ballistic missile. Carrying a simulated warhead, the missile traveled approximately 7,300 kilometers (4,500 miles) before landing in a designated area of international waters within the South Pacific Nuclear Free Zone. China described the launch as a routine military training exercise […] The post What China’s Missile Test Says About the Pacific Order appeared first on Geopolitical Futures .

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

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Эскалация

80%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Geopolitical Futures

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