Geopolitical··Severity 6
Abu Dhabi abandons bid to build global oil benchmark
Adnoc returns to pricing its crude against the Dubai benchmark after Iran war exposes problems with Murban futures
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
42%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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