Military··Severity 6
What's in the Gaza peace deal roadmap?
Hamas says it has accepted a disarmament plan for Gaza which will see it lay down its arms and Israeli troops withdraw from the territory.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
40%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
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