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Geopolitical··Severity 6

Four civilians wounded in Ukraine’s drone attacks on Kakhovka in Kherson Region

Four passenger cars and mini-bus were damaged

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

42%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: TASS English

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