Geopolitical··Severity 6
Southern Lebanese towns near Beaufort Castle hit by Israeli strikes
IDF said it used 700 tonnes of explosives to destroy parts of a Hezbollah tunnel network in southern Lebanon.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
42%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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