Economic··Severity 7
Bond sell-off sent warning on Fed’s credibility, says top central bank official
Alberto Musalem says he supported dissenters’ calls for a quarter-point interest rate rise
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
41%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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