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Social··Severity 6

Spain says 49,000 migrants entered Ceuta enclave in one day

Record influx into North African territory is nearly five times higher than at peak of Europe’s 2015 migration crisis

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

27%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: FT World

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