Social··Severity 6
Spain says 49,000 migrants entered Ceuta enclave in one day
Record influx into North African territory is nearly five times higher than at peak of Europe’s 2015 migration crisis
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
27%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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