Natural··Severity 7
Around 60,000 migrants flood Spain’s Ceuta
According to Spanish media, thousands of migrants swam to Ceuta from Morocco, while others covered the distance on foot
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
29%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Checking access status…