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Natural··Severity 7

Tunisian wildfires expose failing infrastructure, community vulnerabilities

For families in Tunisia's north, the wildfires have meant lost homes, livestock and harvests.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

32%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Al Jazeera

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