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Military··Severity 6

Hamas to hand weapons over to National Committee for the Administration of Gaza if Israeli troops withdraw

Hamas to hand weapons over to National Committee for the Administration of Gaza if Israeli troops withdraw Ghazi Hamad, a Hamas official involved in negotiations tells Reuters that the group will hand over its weapons to the new National Committee for the Administration of Gaza (NCAG), the technocratic body set up to run the enclave. Hamad reiterated that this was contingent on the withdrawal of Israeli forces, along with an increase in the flow of aid and goods into the territroy. "We insisted to the mediators that Israel must abide by the agreement," he said. Reporting by Reuters

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

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40%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Middle East Eye

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