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Economic··Severity 5

Why the Bangsamoro Peace Process Still Depends on Trust

Elections set for September 14 will mark an important step forward, but the peace process will continue for long after the ballots have been counted.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

18%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: The Diplomat

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