Geopolitical··Severity 6
Ex defence minister Fedorov pledges not to oppose Zelenskyy until war ends
Former Defence Minister Mykhailo Fedorov has said he will not become a political opponent of President Volodymyr Zelenskyy during the war, but will return to the government only if he is reinstated as head of the Ministry of Defence.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
38%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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