Geopolitical··Severity 8
Challenges persist despite Hamas backing Gaza ceasefire roadmap
Hamas has approved the latest draft of a roadmap aimed at completing the implementation of the second phase of the Gaza ceasefire agreement, marking a potential breakthrough in negotiations after more than two and a half years of conflict in the enclave.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
48%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: CGTN World
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