Geopolitical··Severity 6
Israel launches attacks across Gaza one day after Hamas agrees to disarm
Israeli attacks across Gaza have killed at least two Palestinians, hours after Hamas agreed to a draft peace deal.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
38%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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