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Social··Severity 6

EU calls emergency meeting to discuss Ceuta migrant crossings

There have been tense exchanges between Spain and other EU states over the influx of migrants into the enclave of Ceuta.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

27%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: BBC World

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