Geopolitical··Severity 9
No breakthrough on Strait of Hormuz as Trump halts attack on Iran
Iran says Trump's comment on pullback from threatened strikes made 'within the context of psychological operations'.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
72%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Checking access status…