← Scenarios catalogue
Military··Severity 8

Iran sets the pace in war with Trump

Tehran’s military raised the stakes with Washington by further expanding the battle across the Middle East

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

69%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: FT World

Checking access status…