Military··Severity 8
Trump cancels Iran strike, says ‘deal perimeters’ reached
The US president announced that he has cancelled a planned military strike on Iran, claiming progress in talks.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
66%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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