Geopolitical··Severity 6
Russia attacks Ukraine with 133 drones: 24 hits recorded
Russia attacked Ukraine with 133 drones on the night of 1-2 August. Air defence destroyed or jammed 109 of the drones; hits recorded at 19 locations.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
44%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
Checking access status…