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Geopolitical··Severity 8

Colombia police station bombed wounding 14 people

Colombia’s government has blamed rebel groups for a truck bomb that wounded 14 people near the border with Venezuela. The attack came less than a week before President-elect Abelardo de la Espriella is due to take office. He has said he plans to end the current administration’s peace negotiations with various armed groups. Morgan Ayre reports.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

56%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: France24

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