Geopolitical··Severity 9
Zelenskyy: Russia is ramping up ballistic missile production – video
Russia has attacked 16 regions of Ukraine over the past week, using 1,900 drones, 1,600 aerial bombs and 144 missiles.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
79%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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