Geopolitical··Severity 8
Live : Trump says US to stop new strikes on Iran, calls for 'rapid deal' on Hormuz
Donald Trump said Saturday that the United States and Israel had agreed to hold off on new strikes on Iran -- provided a deal to end the months-long conflict is "rapidly" reached. Iran did not offer any immediate public reaction to Trump's announcement. Follow our live.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
61%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
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