Geopolitical··Severity 6
Trump cancels new strikes on Iran after Middle East allies’ request
‘Perimeters of a deal has been agreed to,’ US president claims
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
37%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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