Social··Severity 6
Ceuta authorities report 88 deaths amid mass influx of migrants — news agency
On August 2, the Spanish government’s press office reported 72 fatalities, and the Moroccan authorities reported 11 deaths
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
25%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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