Social··Severity 6
IRGC says it intercepted drone over Strait of Hormuz
IRGC says it intercepted drone over Strait of Hormuz Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) said it has shot down an MQ-9 Reaper drone over the Strait of Hormuz, according to Iran’s Sepah News. The report said the drone was hit by Iran’s air defence system. It was not immediately clear where the drone originated. The US air force is the largest operator of MQ-9 Reaper drones.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
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27%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Middle East Eye
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