Cuba could collapse. What’s Trump’s plan for the island?
After Venezuela and Iran, could Cuba be Donald Trump’s next target? As the island endures its worst crisis in decades, Washington is hardening its stance and imposing further sanctions. Is this merely political posturing, or part of a genuine strategy by the US president? How far are the United States prepared to go? In this video, France 24's Stella Elgersma, together with several experts, examines the geopolitical stakes and the possible scenarios surrounding the communist island, to understand what is unfolding just 90 miles off the coast of the United States.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
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