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Geopolitical··Severity 6

Three civilians injured in Ukrainian drone attacks on Belgorod Region

One of them sustained multiple shrapnel wounds, the regional emergency response center said

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

40%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: TASS English

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