Geopolitical··Severity 6
Australia warns H5N1 likely to spread after first mass mortality episode
Agriculture minister says testing confirmed H5N1 bird flu in a group of 49 dead and 35 sick terns.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
40%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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