Geopolitical··Severity 8
Trump suggests new talks with Iran to begin on Monday
Tehran has not responded to the suggestion that new talks are imminent. Trump has previously said a negotiated end to the war is close, only for strikes to resume.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
56%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
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