← Scenarios catalogue
Social··Severity 6

Chile Peso Bonds Face Pressure if Strait of Hormuz Stays Closed

Chile’s peso borrowing costs risk hitting highs for the year in August as the Middle East conflict drags into its sixth month, even as the economy struggles to gain momentum.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

25%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

Checking access status…