Geopolitical··Severity 6
Outside the Moscow restaurant where bomb killed three
The BBC's Russia editor reports from Kudrinskaya Square, where the blast took place.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
42%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
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