Geopolitical··Severity 6
Almost £200,000 of fuel stolen from UK forecourts every day since Iran war began
Incidents of fuel being taken without payment have risen by a fifth in five months, according to industry analysis.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
39%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC Business
Checking access status…