Economic··Severity 7
How US sanctions on Iran could spread risks and costs worldwide
The impact of the new round of US sanctions on Iran has long extended beyond the bilateral relationship between the United States and Iran. The sanctions will not only deepen Iran's economic and livelihood difficulties, but will also transmit their effects across the region and the wider world through energy, trade, finance and supply chains.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
47%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: CGTN World
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