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Economic··Severity 7

Kenyan police fire tear gas at Nairobi protest against import duty hike

Traders frustrated by more than $5,000 duty hike they say will hurt small businesses.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

40%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Al Jazeera

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