Economic··Severity 7
With the US and Canada locked in a trade war, fears of a recession lurk
Analysts say Canada may lose 100,000 jobs under the current tariffs and could go into recession if the USMCA pact ends.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
41%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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